Wednesday, March 16, 2016

2016 March Madness Bracket

I don't watch much college basketball. Until March, that is. This year's NCAA tournament is going to be more interesting than last year's, since instead of everyone wondering who can beat Kentucky, there are more teams that have a good chance at winning the championship. I made a bracket, and it is probably going to fail horribly. Of course, that's what makes March Madness so fun. Here are my predictions:

South

First Round
1 Kansas beats 16 Austin Peay
9 Connecticut beats 8 Colorado
12 South Dakota State beats 5 Maryland
4 California beats 13 Hawaii
6 Arizona beats 11 Wichita State
3 Miami beats 14 Buffalo
10 Temple beats 7 Iowa
2 Villanova beats 15 UNC Asheville

Second Round
1 Kansas beats 9 Connecticut
4 California beats 12 South Dakota State
3 Miami beats 6 Arizona
2 Villanova beats 10 Temple

Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight
1 Kansas beats 4 California
2 Villanova beats 3 Miami
1 Kansas beats 2 Villanova

West

First Round
1 Oregon beats 16 Holy Cross/Southern
8 Saint Joseph's beats 9 Cincinnati
5 Baylor beats 12 Yale
13 UNC Wilmington beats 4 Duke
11 Northern Iowa beats 6 Texas
3 Texas A&M beats 14 Green Bay
7 Oregon State beats 10 Virginia Commonwealth
2 Oklahoma beats 15 Cal St. Bakersfield

Second Round
8 Saint Joseph's beats 1 Oregon
5 Baylor beats 13 UNC Wilmington
3 Texas A&M beats 11 Northern Iowa
2 Oklahoma beats 7 Oregon State

Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight
5 Baylor beats 8 Saint Joseph's
3 Texas A&M beats 2 Oklahoma
3 Texas A&M beats 5 Baylor

East

First Round
1 North Carolina beats 16 Florida Gulf Coast
9 Providence beats 8 Southern California
5 Indiana beats 12 Chattanooga
4 Kentucky beats 13 Stony Brook
6 Notre Dame beats 11 Michigan/Tulsa
3 West Virginia beats 14 Stephen F. Austin
7 Wisconsin beats 10 Pittsburgh
2 Xavier beats 15 Weber State

Second Round
9 Providence beats 1 North Carolina
4 Kentucky beats 5 Indiana
3 West Virginia beats 6 Notre Dame
2 Xavier beats 7 Wisconsin

Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight
4 Kentucky beats 1 Providence
2 Xavier beats 3 West Virginia
2 Xavier beats 4 Kentucky

Midwest

First Round
1 Virginia beats 16 Hampton
9 Butler beats 8 Texas Tech
12 Little Rock beats 5 Purdue
4 Iowa State beats 13 Iona
6 Seton Hall beats 11 Gonzaga
3 Utah beats 14 Fresno State
7 Dayton beats 10 Syracuse
2 Michigan State beats 15 Middle Tennessee

Second Round
1 Virginia beats 9 Butler
4 Iowa State beats 12 Little Rock
6 Seton Hall beats 3 Utah
2 Michigan State beats 7 Dayton

Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight
4 Iowa State beats 1 Virginia
2 Michigan State beats 6 Seton Hall
4 Iowa State beats 2 Michigan State

Final Four
1 Kansas beats 3 Texas A&M
2 Xavier beats 4 Iowa State

National Championship
Kansas 78 - Xavier 70

I will probably end up laughing at how bad my predictions were by the end of the tournament, but hopefully my bracket doesn't completely fail. Do you agree or disagree with my picks? Feel free to leave a comment and tell me who your Final Four is.

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Grading the 2016 Trade Deadline Deals

The trade deadline has passed, and several trades were made. There weren't any major trades, but some of them could have a big impact. Here are my thoughts about the trades that have happened in the past few days:


The Hornets only gave up a couple of bench players and second-round picks to get Courtney Lee. It was a good idea to add another shooting wing for a very low price. The Grizzlies got some second-round picks and some role players, but did not upgrade their roster. It was not a good trade for the Grizzlies, because they did not improve the team for this season, and the draft picks might not become good players in the future. The Heat also did not improve the roster very much, but Brian Roberts could improve their three-point shooting, which has been a big weakness.

The Orlando Magic traded one of their young players and got back little in return. Brandon Jennings has struggled coming back from injury and Ersan Ilyasova won't do much in the short-term or long-term. The Pistons upgraded their roster for both the present and the future. Tobias Harris, while not a great shooter, improved his three-point shooing last year and will probably only get better with the Pistons. The Magic may have chosen to give more minutes to certain players, but could end up regretting giving up Harris.

This trade does basically nothing except cut the Heat's payroll.

Shelvin Mack is not a starting point guard and only slightly adds to Utah's depth. The Hawks are not losing much.

The Pistons made another good trade and improved their depth while losing only a draft pick that could end up at 20 or lower, as well as Joel Anthony, who hardly played in Detroit and will hardly play in Houston. Donatas Motiejunas and Marcus Thornton are both good shooters who will provide quality minutes for a team that has a legitimate shot at getting home-court advantage in the playoffs. The Pistons have been trending upward lately and are closer to becoming a true contender.

The Thunder decreased their payroll, but failed to improve the roster. Randy Foye has been declining the past two seasons and probably won't do much in Oklahoma City. The Nuggets didn't do much either, but at least will provide more entertainment for their fans this year.

Channing Frye is a good shooting big and can fill Kevin Love's role in the offense when Love is on the bench by standing on the perimeter for 20 seconds at a time. The Cavaliers improved, but are still worse than the Warriors and the Spurs and might not even be better than the Thunder. The Trail Blazers got a free draft pick and the Magic got pretty much nothing.

The Wizards made a good decision by acquiring Markieff Morris, but gave up too much to get him, losing a first-round pick in the trade. Morris has struggled this season and giving up a first-rounder for him is too much, especially considering that the Wizards aren't likely to get very far this year. The Suns are just unloading players and trying to recover from the mess that their team that has become.

The Hawks replaced Mack with Kirk Hinrich. It was a minor move, but Hinrich is a better shooter than Mack.

Getting Jeff Green in exchange for Lance Stephenson and a 2019 first-round pick was a very good trade for the Clippers. Stephenson was atrocious a season ago and is not much better this year, while Green is a capable scorer. The Clippers finally have a good, mature, starting small forward that doesn't have attitude problems. But what exactly are the Grizzlies doing? They probably could have gotten more for Green and are stuck in the 5-8 range of the playoffs. They won't get out of there unless they make a significant change to their roster.

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

2016 Trade Deadline Preview

With the trade deadline approaching quickly, teams will be looking to add to their roster to improve their chances of winning the championship, or rebuild and focus on the future. Here are some players that might be wearing a different uniform by tomorrow afternoon:

Jeff Teague and Al Horford, Atlanta Hawks
Neither Jeff Teague nor Al Horford are superstar players, but both are very good and can contribute a lot to a contender. The Hawks have reportedly been thinking about trading them. Kyle Korver might also be traded, but he has regressed this season and other teams might not want him as much. The Hawks have a replacement for Teague in Dennis Schroder, but replacing Horford would be much harder. The Hawks should try to get a backup point guard and a versatile wing player in exchange for Teague if they trade him. For the right return, they could upgrade their roster and become a serious threat to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Kevin Love, Cleveland Cavaliers and Carmelo Anthony, New York Knicks
This is one strange rumor, with the Boston Celtics being mentioned. The Celtics have needed another go-to scorer, but why would they trade for Love? They already have several offensive-minded power forwards who struggle on defense, so why would they need to sacrifice depth for a player that does similar things to many players on their roster already? From Cleveland's side, trading for Carmelo Anthony could help the team slightly. He won't hurt them on defense much more than Love, and he would fit better in the offense, as he can score better from outside. It might cause the Cavs to slump if they shake up the roster, but adding Anthony might pay off in the postseason. The Knicks are in an awkward situation, with a star player on the roster but little help to surround him. They could choose to focus on the future and build around Kristaps Porzingis, but that could take a while and their fanbase probably wouldn't like that. It could be hard to trade Anthony and get a return that would help the Knicks improve quickly.

Dwight Howard, Houston Rockets
It might be time for the Rockets to start focusing more on James Harden and finding the best second option to play along with him. Dwight Howard currently fills that role, but he is no longer needed on the roster with Clint Capela ready to replace him. The Rockets need to get another playmaker or two to help out Harden, and trading Howard could get them the right players they need.

Blake Griffin, Los Angeles Clippers
Blake Griffin is easily one of the best players in the NBA, but the Clippers should trade him if a team offers up a good package. Because of Chris Paul, the Clippers do fine without Griffin. They aren't quite at the level where they can beat the Spurs, Warriors, or Cavaliers, but trading Griffin would make their depth much better.

Pau Gasol, Chicago Bulls
If the Bulls believe that they won't be able to get very far in the playoffs and that Pau Gasol might leave the team as a free agent, they should move him. They are reportedly looking to trade him. The Bulls should try to get draft picks or young wing players in exchange for Pau.

Teams to Watch:

Boston Celtics
The Celtics need another star, and Horford and Howard are good fits with the Celtics because both players are good defensive players. Horford would fit better because he is a much better offensive player and can even shoot three-pointers.

Cleveland Cavaliers
Even if Kevin Love isn't traded, the Cavaliers could still make a more minor deal. The Cavs are reportedly willing to trade Iman Shumpert and should move him to whatever team is willing to take on his fat contract.

Philadelphia 76ers
I have a feeling someone is going to be traded for picks and the 76ers will prepare for the 2050 NBA season.

Portland Trail Blazers
The Trail Blazers have played surprisingly well, and should trade for a veteran under contract for a couple more years if they can.

Toronto Raptors
If the Raptors can make a move to bring them closer to the Cavs, it would be worth making, especially if it puts pressure on Cleveland. The Raptors need an upgrade at power forward, and should look to address their weakness.

If there's one thing about the trade deadline that is predictable, it's that you never know what to expect. It will be fun to watch and see what happens.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Why LeBron Might Not Win a Title in Cleveland

Last Friday, the Cleveland Cavaliers made the shocking decision to fire head coach David Blatt. What makes the move especially surprising is that the Cavs had just won both games of a back-to-back against the Nets in Brooklyn and at home against the Los Angeles Clippers. The Cavs were a team that lasted six games against the 67-win Warriors in the NBA Finals last year. They were first in the Eastern Conference with a 30-11 record. And yet, they still chose to replace their coach.

The Cavaliers recovered nicely from their blowout loss to the Warriors the Monday before, and were coming off of a big win against the Clippers. It was a strange time to fire their coach, as it was in the middle of the season, and they were playing so well. It certainly wasn't an urgent move, as the Cavs were the favorites to win the East.

The firing of Blatt was more about the Cavaliers not getting as far as was expected of them. But a head coach shouldn't be fired after his team makes the finals. It also wasn't Blatt's fault that the Cavs couldn't make it past the Warriors. Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving were both injured, so the Cavs were playing at a disadvantage. They still played hard despite the odds being stacked against them. This season, without any other big challengers in the East, they might be the most likely team in the NBA to advance to the finals. While they might not be able win a series against the Warriors or Spurs right now, there is still time to make a roster move.

Maybe David Blatt wasn't the perfect coach for the Cavs. He wasn't getting along well with his players, including LeBron James. But continuity is very important in sports, and if Blatt was given more time, he could have developed a better relationship with his team and figured out how to best use his roster. Now, his replacement Tyronn Lue only has a few months to prepare for the playoffs. Without the whole summer to figure out a gameplan, the Cavs might not be able to adjust in time.

The Cavaliers didn't figure out how to get Love involved in the offense, which they will have to do because of his poor defense. There are many players that can stand outside the three point line most of the time, but Love is not one of them. His post-up and rebounding skills are not being utilized like they should be. He is not getting the opportunity to be a star player.

LeBron might already be starting to decline. He isn't playing defense at a high level anymore, and his jump shot has been worse this season. His playing ability likely won't drop off suddenly, but he won't be able to improve much after this season. The Cavs need to improve on their depth, possibly adding more defense and shooting. Unless they make a couple trades, it is unlikely that they will be able to match the Spurs or Warriors. But it would be tough to make a big move, especially after just making a coaching change.

Maybe Tyronn Lue turns out to be a great coach and figures out how to work with his players. Or maybe the Cavaliers make the necessary roster moves to match or surpass Golden State and San Antonio. But the way things are going, Cleveland won't win the NBA Championship.

Where Should David Blatt Go Next?
David Blatt was hired a few weeks before LeBron James announced he would be returning to Cleveland. He became the unfortunate victim of a win-now situation, where "good enough" wasn't good enough. But Blatt wasn't originally hired to take the Cavaliers to the top. He was supposed to coach a young team and take them to the playoffs as lower seed. Which is what he needs to do for his second coaching job, where he won't have as much pressure to succeed immediately.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are a great fit for Blatt. He'll be able to earn the respect of the league there and perhaps get another chance at the postseason. Right now, they are in need of someone like Blatt to take over for interim head coach Sam Mitchell, who the Timberwolves are not happy with. The Wolves have a solid young core which has a lot potential. The biggest piece missing is a coach who can take them to the next level. David Blatt could be that coach.

All-Star Reserves
Yesterday, the 2016 All-Star reserves were revealed. The selections were mostly pretty good, but with some notable exclusions. I think Damian Lillard should have made it over James Harden. Harden is a great scorer, but he turns the ball over too much, and he doesn't play defense. His Rockets have disappointed, while Lillard's Trail Blazers have performed better than expected after losing four starters and their sixth man. The other selection I disagree with is Chris Bosh instead of Kevin Love. Bosh is a better defender, but Love is on a better team that deserves to be represented in the All-Star Game besides just LeBron James.

I'm also very happy that Isaiah Thomas became an All-Star for the first time. He is finally on a winning team in his first full season in Boston. He's a player that at just 5'9" is proving that skill matters more than size. He's someone that normal-sized people can look up to, and an inspiration to many, beating the odds after being drafted just 60th overall in 2011.

Do you agree or disagree with my thoughts? Feel free to post a comment.

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Problems with the NBA All-Star Game

I am a big fan of the NBA All-Star Game. But I think there are some problems with it that need to be fixed. The All-Star Game doesn't need any changes, but some of them could improve it.

The third voting returns for the starters were announced today. Not all of the players set to start in the game are deserving of their spot. Kyrie Irving stands out as one of the least deserving players. He has missed a majority of the Cavaliers' games, and he hasn't been shooting the ball as well as he has before. There is no reason why Irving should start instead of Kyle Lowry. Lowry is having a fantastic season, but the main reason he should start the All-Star Game and not Irving is because he plays in Toronto, where the game is going to be.

One could argue that Irving should start in the game if the fans want to see him, but players should have to earn a spot in the starting lineup by playing well. The All-Star Game should be reserved for the best of the best, not the most popular players. However, there is one player who has been struggling this year that should be starting: Kobe Bryant. As someone who has had such a big impact on the game of basketball, Bryant absolutely deserves to have one last shining moment in the All-Star Game (and so does Tim Duncan, who is getting no love these days). Fan voting should not be eliminated because the fans deserve to vote in some players or make a statement in the voting numbers saying that they want to see someone like Kobe play in the starting lineup.

Here's my suggestion to fix the fan voting: the guard and frontcourt player with the most votes in each conference automatically starts in the All-Star Game. Each player who doesn't get in from the fan vote receives a certain number of points based on his standing from the vote, with players higher in the standing receiving more votes. Then, the coaches vote for the rest of the roster for their conference, and the players with the highest total of coach votes and fan vote points make the All-Star team. It would be up to the coach of the team to decide the starters of the game.

The All-Star rosters also need to be expanded to 13 players because NBA teams have 15 man rosters and 12 is just not enough. But another reason to expand the rosters is to make up for undeserving players.

Lastly, please vote for Andre Drummond, Kyle Lowry, and Jimmy Butler. All three truly deserve to start in Toronto in February, and need more support.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

My 2016 All-Star Starter Picks

Each year, the NBA All-Star Game is a fun, high-scoring, and ultimately meaningless event where nobody cares to play defense. Now that fan voting has begun, I've decided to share who I think deserves to start in the 2016 NBA All-Star Game.

Western Conference:
G Stephen Curry
G Russell Westbrook
F Kawhi Leonard
F Kevin Durant
F Anthony Davis

Curry is a no-brainer to start in the All-Star Game. The Warriors have been cruising through the start of the season, and he is the biggest reason why. Westbrook is also having a good season, and is putting up monster numbers. Leonard has been the best player on the Spurs and is the biggest part of their success. He is becoming one of the best two-way players in the league now. While Durant has missed a few games this year, he's still one of the top players in the league. And Anthony Davis has continued to dominate despite his lack of help.

Eastern Conference:
G Kristaps Porzingis
Kristaps Porzingis
Kristaps Porzingis
Kristaps Porzingis
Kristaps Porzingis
:)

My actual picks for the Eastern Conference:
G Kyle Lowry
G Jimmy Butler
F LeBron James
F Paul George
F Andre Drummond

Lowry has led the Raptors to a good start to the season. He's also having a very good start to the season himself. I considered choosing John Wall over Butler for the second guard spot, but Butler's Bulls have been better than Wall's Wizards, so he gets my vote. James is a no-brainer for the All-Star Game, and so is George, who has been even better than before his injury. My last pick is Drummond, who can't be stopped from getting rebounds.

I also wanted to talk about Matt Barnes' insane game winner in Detroit. If you haven't seen it yet, here it is:


It was a ridiculous decision to shoot the ball from half-court, even if it went in. There were still timeouts remaining and enough time on the clock for Barnes to get a closer shot. But hey, it was an awesome highlight.

Sunday, December 6, 2015

The Conferences Have Changed

Last year, the Eastern Conference was a lot worse all around, and the standings showed that. This year, however, the East has gotten much better. The top teams are still in the Western Conference, but the teams in the middle of the standings are better in the East. It's those teams that have made the East more exciting this year.

The Miami Heat, Cleveland Cavaliers, Chicago Bulls, Indiana Pacers, and Atlanta Hawks are all very likely to make the postseason. It's the next 6-7 teams that have made the Eastern Conference playoff race very interesting. Here are my thoughts on those teams:

Kyle Lowry has improved off of his excellent season last year, and the Toronto Raptors have been right in the middle of the playoffs. The Raptors have a good shot at making the postseason, not only because of Lowry, but also because of DeMar DeRozan.

The Charlotte Hornets, Detroit Pistons, Orlando Magic, and Boston Celtics are the teams most likely to end up fighting for the seventh and eighth seeds in April. Of the the four, the Pistons might have the best chance to get there. They're led by Reggie Jackson and Andre Drummond, both of whom are making strong cases to be on the all-star team. The Magic, meanwhile, are having a surprisingly good season given how young the roster is. Next year, they could be a top team in the East. The Celtics have one of the best coaches in the league in Brad Stevens, so it wouldn't be shocking if they snagged one of the lower seeds in the East despite the fact that their roster needs work. And the Hornets' decision to trade for Nicolas Batum is paying off as he's having a great season as a key part of the team.

The New York Knicks are close to the eighth seed, but might not have enough to get there. If they go on a big winning streak and another team fighting for the playoffs slips, the Knicks could get the eighth spot. And Kristaps Porzingis is awesome.

The eight best teams in the Western Conference are starting to look clear. The Warriors and Spurs are clearly leading the way, but the other teams are not looking as strong. The Oklahoma City Thunder, Memphis Grizzlies, Los Angeles Clippers, Dallas Mavericks, Utah Jazz, and Houston Rockets will all probably make the playoffs. None of the teams on the outside appear strong enough to get to the postseason. The Portland Trail Blazers and Minnesota Timberwolves are too young, while the Phoenix Suns don't have enough talent in the frontcourt to get there.

It would be very interesting if the New Orleans Pelicans get closer to the playoffs. After starting off slowly, they have picked up some quality wins against good teams. It's improbable that they will be in the playoffs, but it sure would be nice to see Anthony Davis showcase his talent in the postseason again.